AUSTRALIA
Prepared from Tuesday 25th to Thursday 27th August 2026
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@AbiodunAAjijola
Written by Abiodun Mohammed Adeyemi Ajijola
'The overseas-born population in Australia increased from approximately 3.9 million in the late 1980s to 8.8 million by June 2025, representing an absolute increase of about 125% over that timeframe.
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Key Migration Growth Facts
Current Share: The overseas-born population reached a record 32.0% of Australia's total resident population in 2025, up from roughly 21% in the mid-1980s.
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Top Birthplaces in 2025: India (971,020) overtook England (970,950) as the leading country of birth outside Australia, followed by China (732,000) and New Zealand (638,000).
'Australian Bureau of Statistics
Recent Drivers: Net overseas migration surged following the easing of post-pandemic border restrictions, hitting an annual record of 536,000 in 2022–23 before moderating to around 309,000 in recent tracking periods.'
'Australia’s overall age-standardized death rate has actually decreased over the long term, even though the total number of registered deaths has risen due to population growth and aging.
According to reports from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) and the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW):
Key Mortality Trends
Age-Standardized Death Rate: Declined significantly over recent decades. For example, over just the last decade (2015 to 2024), the age-standardized death rate fell by 8% (from 553 to 508 deaths per 100,000 people).
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare
Total Registered Deaths: Rose from roughly 105,000–110,000 per year in the mid-1980s to 187,268 total registered deaths in Australia in 2024.
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Crude Death Rate (CDR): Stood at approximately 6.88 deaths per 1,000 people in 2024, hovering relatively close to historical averages despite an older population base.
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Context of the Increase
Population Aging: The absolute increase in total deaths reflects a larger and older population, with 68% of deaths occurring in people aged 75 and over in 2024 compared to lower shares in past decades.
Health Improvements: Medical advancements have sharply lowered age-specific death rates for major historical killers like ischemic heart disease.'
'In 1987, 21.2% of Australia's estimated resident population was born overseas.
According to historical data provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), the total number of overseas-born residents during that year was 3.34 million out of an Australian-born cohort of roughly 12.43 million. This era marked a steady period in Australian immigration history where the foreign-born population hovered consistently between 21% and 23% throughout the late 1980s and 1990s.'
'Australia's total population is projected to reach approximately 46 million by 2075 under medium-growth scenarios.
Key Projections & Details
Growth Scenario: The official Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) medium-growth projection estimates the population will double from its baseline era.
Alternative Scenarios: High-growth or low-growth models could see the 46-million milestone reached as early as 2058 or pushed past 2101.
City Growth: Major hubs like Sydney and Melbourne are projected to see massive expansions, while regional shifts continue across states and territories.'
'Comprehensive official death counts broken down strictly by the broad aggregate of "Australian-born versus overseas-born" are not published as a single static ratio in standard Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) headline mortality releases.
Key Demographic Context
Population Split: As of June 2025, Australia's estimated resident population of 27.6 million comprises roughly 18.8 million Australian-born (68%) and 8.83 million overseas-born (32%) residents.
General Mortality Tendencies: According to reports by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW), overseas-born Australians generally experience all-cause age-standardized death rates that are 10% to 15% lower than those born in Australia—a phenomenon often referred to as the "healthy migrant effect".
Total Deaths: Australia recorded approximately 187,268 total registered deaths in 2024, but absolute splits by nativity require custom data requests from the ABS microdata repository.'
'The estimated Australian-born population in 1987 was approximately 12.76 million people, according to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Population Details
Total Australian-born: 12.76 million (representing roughly 78.5% of the total resident population).
Overseas-born proportion: 21.5% of the total population during that same period.
Total population context: Australia's overall estimated resident population was around 16.3 million people.'
'Australia has an estimated resident population of 18.8 million people born in the country, according to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics as of June 2025.
Population Breakdown
Total population: 27.6 million residents.
Australian-born: 18.8 million people (68% of the population).
Overseas-born: 8.8 million people (32% of the population).
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Key Statistics
Median age: The median age for the Australian-born population is 35 years old.
Historical context: The 32% proportion of overseas-born residents matches high levels not seen since the gold rush era in 1891.
Top birth countries for overseas residents: India recently overtook England as the leading country of birth for overseas-born Australians, followed by China, New Zealand, and the Philippines.'
'Based on United Nations and demographic projections, Australia's total population in the year 2075 is projected to be approximately 37.6 million people (37,659,585) under medium-growth variants.
Key Projection Details
Projected Population (2075): ~37.66 million
Current Baseline (2026): ~27.23 million
Growth Trajectory: Australia’s population is expected to maintain a steady upward trend through the decades, driven largely by net international migration alongside shifting life expectancies and fertility rates.
Comparison: While official local estimates (such as historic Australian Bureau of Statistics long-range models) previously mapped a potential path toward 46 million by 2075 under higher assumptions, current international UN-backed median trajectories place the expected count closer to the mid-37 millions.'
'In 1987, Australia's overall life expectancy at birth was approximately 76.1 to 76.3 years.
Breakdown by Gender
Women: ~79.4 years
Men: ~73.0 years (some official multi-year reporting periods like 1985–1987 list men at 72.7 to 73 years)
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Key Details
Global Ranking: Australia ranked 16th worldwide for life expectancy in 1987.
Historical Context: Life expectancy at the time had risen steadily from about 47–50 years in the late 1800s, driven by improvements in public health and a decline in cardiovascular disease mortality.'
https://www.google.com/search?q=australian+life+expectancy+in+1987&oq=australian+life+expectancy+in+1987&aqs=chrome..69i57j33i160l2.19441j0j7&client=ms-android-vivo&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8#:~:text=australian%20life%20expectancy,Terms
'In 1987, there were a total of 117,321 registered deaths in Australia, consisting of 63,611 males and 53,710 females according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Registered Deaths Breakdown
Total deaths: 117,321
Male deaths: 63,611
Female deaths: 53,710
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Life Expectancy (1985–1987)
Male life expectancy: 72.7 years
Female life expectancy: 79.2 years'
'As of June 30, 2025, Australia's Australian-born population was approximately 18.8 million people (representing about 68% of the total population of 27.6 million).
Australian Bureau of Statistics
According to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics:
Total Population: 27.6 million as of June 2025.
Overseas-born Population: 8.8 million (32.0% of the total).
Annual Growth (2024–2025): The Australian-born population increased by 161,000 people, while the overseas-born population grew by 258,000.
Median Age: The median age for the Australian-born population was 35 years, compared to 43 years for the overseas-born population.
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Demographics of Australia
The population of Australia is estimated to be 27,994,737 as of 26 June 2026. Birth rate 12.3 births/1,000 population. Decrease 17.7% (2025 est.).'
'In 1987, Australia recorded a total fertility rate of 1.845 births per woman, with a total of 243,959 registered births.'
'Australia recorded 188,156 registered deaths in 2025 according to provisional mortality statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Key Details for 2025
Total Deaths: 188,156 registered deaths (an increase of 0.6% compared to 2024 and 2.7% compared to 2023).
Certification Type: 163,705 deaths (87%) were doctor certified, and 24,451 were coroner referred.
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Death Rate: The age-standardised death rate was 494.3 deaths per 100,000 people, which is lower than the rates for 2024 (507.7) and 2023 (513.4).
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Specific Causes (Provisional):
COVID-19: 1,724 deaths
Influenza: 1,484 deaths
RSV: 199 deaths'
'Australia recorded approximately 300,000 registered births for the 12-month period ending in December 2025, according to provisional demographic estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Key Birth Statistics for 2025
Total Registered Births: Around 300,000 (reflecting a 3.6% increase over the previous annual period).
Natural Increase: Estimated at 111,500 people (total births minus deaths) for the year ending December 2025.
Official Data Release Schedule: Finalized and detailed microdata on births for the full calendar year of 2025 are scheduled for formal release by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on November 6, 2026.'
'Australia's overall life expectancy at birth in 2025 is estimated to be approximately 84.1 to 84.2 years.
Breakdown by Sex
Males: Projected around 81.1 to 82.4 years of age.
Females: Projected around 85.1 years of age.
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare
Key Health Insights
Global Standing: Australia consistently ranks near the top globally for population health and longevity, outperforming the OECD average.
Regional Differences: Official figures show life expectancy is highest in the Australian Capital Territory and lowest in the Northern Territory.
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Health-Adjusted Life Expectancy (HALE): Australians spend the vast majority of their lives (around 86% to 88%) in full health.'
'Yes, immigration can increase a country's overall life expectancy.
Research shows that newcomers often boost national longevity statistics through direct and indirect ways.
Direct Effects: The Immigrant Mortality Advantage
Higher Longevity: Foreign-born individuals often live longer than native-born populations. For example, studies show immigrants in the U.S. add about 1.5 years to male life expectancy and 1.4 years to female life expectancy.
Healthier Profiles: Migrants are often younger and healthier when they arrive, a phenomenon known as the "healthy immigrant effect". Their lower mortality rates help prop up national averages, especially during periods when native-born life expectancy stagnates or declines.
Indirect Effects: Supporting Healthcare Systems
Elder Care: Immigrants make up a large share of the healthcare and caregiving workforce. Research indicates that an increase in immigration helps fill critical staffing shortages in nursing homes and home health care.
Better Health for Seniors: With more care workers available, elderly residents receive better support, which leads to reduced mortality rates among older native populations.'
'Yes, the number of deaths is the top number (numerator) used to calculate the death rate.
How to Calculate Death Rate
To find the death rate, divide the total number of deaths by the total population size, then multiply by a standard number (like 1,000).
Formula: (Number of Deaths ÷ Total Population) × 1,000
Numerator: Total number of deaths during a specific time period (usually one year).
Denominator: Total size of the population in that same area and time frame.'
'To calculate the future value of a real figure that grows at a specific compound percentage over a period of years, use the compound growth formula:
, where r is the percentage rate and t is the number of years.
📊 📈 Step-by-Step Mathematical Formula
Initial Value (V₀): Your starting real figure (e.g., salary, revenue, or asset price).
Percentage Rate (r): The annual rate of increase in percent.
Time (t): The total number of years.
Calculation: Multiply your initial value by (1 + r/100) repeatedly for each year, which simplifies to raising that multiplier to the power of t.'
https://www.google.com/search?q=calculator+for+increase+in+real+fugure+at+speciifc+perecebtage+over+a+period+of+years&oq=calculator+for+increase+in+real+fugure+at+speciifc+perecebtage+over+a+period+of+years&aqs=chrome..69i57.59992j0j7&client=ms-android-vivo&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8#:~:text=%2B1,power%20of%20t.
'To calculate the average percentage growth over multiple years, divide the total percentage by the number of years for a simple average, or use the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for a more accurate compound average.
Simple Average Percentage
Use this method if you just want to find the arithmetic mean of the total percentage spread evenly across the years.
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
Use this method for population data if you want to find the steady annual growth rate that accounts for compounding over time.'
https://www.google.com/search?q=how+to+calculate+average+percentage+with+number+of+years+and+total+percentage+for+population&client=ms-android-vivo&hs=NQqV&sca_esv=09364ea4b0795b77&sxsrf=APpeQnv1SlQfeGPABdyRCv5tdHwqwOSwdw%3A1787673293378&ei=zbqNauuyFou6hbIPvf_fMA&biw=360&bih=560&oq=how+to+calculate+average+percentage+with+number+of+years+and+total+percentage+for+popul&gs_lp=EhNtb2JpbGUtZ3dzLXdpei1zZXJwIldob3cgdG8gY2FsY3VsYXRlIGF2ZXJhZ2UgcGVyY2VudGFnZSB3aXRoIG51bWJlciBvZiB5ZWFycyBhbmQgdG90YWwgcGVyY2VudGFnZSBmb3IgcG9wdWwqAggAMgQQHhgKSM5CUPcXWMUscAF4AZABAJgBlwKgAaMTqgEEMi0xMLgBAcgBAPgBAZgCA6AC1ATCAgoQABhHGNYEGLADmAMAiAYBkAYIkgcFMS4wLjKgB_QEsgcDMi0yuAekBMIHBzItMS4xLjHIBzSACAE&sclient=mobile-gws-wiz-serp
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