LEGALLY AND ACCURATELY MAKING A PRELIMINARY DETERMINATION OF WHETHER GENOCIDE HAS OCCURRED IN A LOCATION Written on Sunday 8th February 2026


LEGALLY AND ACCURATELY MAKING A PRELIMINARY DETERMINATION OF WHETHER GENOCIDE HAS OCCURRED IN A LOCATION 

Written on Sunday 8th February 2026 

DEFINITION 

GENOCIDE

'The 1948 Genocide Convention, also known as the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, defines genocide as acts committed with the intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial, or religious group.' 

https://x.com/electmonitorng/status/1912328052639461662?t=y6ZnV-rbhHruJYVci75WUQ&s=19

From many reports since 1994 and decades after there is the impression that the United States of America, with capital in Washington D.C., North America, somehow intentionally did not want to call the horrific events commencing on 7th April 1994 a Genocide but rather preferred to use the term 'Acts of Genocide'.

This appears plausible. However, since the United States of America, with capital in Washington D.C., North America is governed by Law it would need to act legally and lawfully in making such a determination even with the requirements of the 1948 Genocide Convention.

From the information available to me who write this physically, the United States of America with capital in Washington D.C., North America did not have enough people on the ground with the capability to make such a determination at the time. In addition, if the United States of America, with capital in Washington D.C., North America, had made a wrong determination, it would have been quite serious.

Therefore, in my opinion, the refusal of the United States of America, with capital in Washington D.C., North America, to acquiesce to pressure to make a legal determination at the time was not only wise and circumspect but very much legal and lawful.

To accurately make such a determination would not have been feasible with the United States trying to evacuate its citizens at the time. In addition information was not ubiquitous as now, decades later because of the Internet. 

However, does it mean that nations should not make a legal determination in situations that appear as Genocide?

Certainly nations, especially those that are signatories of the 1948 Genocide Convention, should seek to legally make legal determination of genocide in such situations because that may help save hundreds of thousands and even millions of lives.

How can nations legally do this?

With the following steps, this should be feasible for any nation desiring to do this.

1. Legally track casualty (especially deaths) numbers as they are made known from different sources and compare the figures.

2. Conclude on the most accurate figures based on the credibility of the source but also the proximity of the source to the location of the occurrence of the killings and other important legal considerations.

3. Legally track the geographical locations in that nation or location where the suspected genocidal killings have occurred and or are occurring. This means to put the casualty figures across specific geographical locations where the killings occurred.

4. Legally find out which types of people are most populous in those particular locations.

5. Make a preliminary assessment of possible patterns of killings across such locations to legally and accurately determine whether certain areas have a higher causality rate than others and which people are most likely affected by that based on information legally available.


6. In line with the 1948 Genocide Convention, make a press statement as to the trends and patterns of casualties and, if clear that genocide is likely occurring, make a preliminary legal and accurate determination that the patterns and trends clearly show that genocide is likely occurring. Legally make known the data used to make the legal and accurate determination to the United Nations and other nations. 


https://x.com/electmonitorng/status/1848670604343345359?t=_5dKgX8bIgAjvKlTnFPy6A&s=19

In this form, it is my opinion that a signatory of the 1948 Genocide Convention can operate in line with the Convention without putting its own nation at risk of making a wrong legal determination of whether genocide has occurred or not. Non-signatories of the 1948 Genocide Convention can also make the legal determination. 


This is very important.

This cannot be political, but a legal and accurate determination has to be made only if the facts and legal data show that clearly.

Written by Abiodun Mohammed Adeyemi Ajijola







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